Tuesday 1 May 2012

A DIVIDED SINGAPORE – COMING SOON



A DIVIDED SINGAPORE – COMING SOON
The abandonment of the high wage policy of 1979-1982, the rigid adherence to market forces as a policy tool and the more recent policy of importing cheap foreign labour combined to take Singapore to share the top spots on the chart of nations with highest income inequality.

But what is so bad about high income inequality?

The Singapore government has always boasted that its policy of meritocracy creates a level playing field, allowing people from even the very bottom of society to move up the social ladder.  This policy is now in grave danger of evermore becoming an empty boast as the ladder of meritocracy becomes more and more dysfunctional.  There is now a structural social problem in Singapore created by the income inequality that will become more intractable if it is not adequately addressed.

What is this structural social problem?

It is the environment where the position of the rich will get more and more favourable while the position of the poor will get less and less favourable.  Here is how we see it:

In the highly competitive education environment of Singapore, parents often go all out to give their children as much a head start as possible – getting into the right kindergarten, pre-school and enrichment classes, extra tuitions, volunteering at and making donations to the schools to gain priority points etc.   In this race, the greater the financial resources the parents have, the greater the chance that the child will get the education head start that the parents desired for the child.  While there is no guarantee that such privileged children will eventually make it financially in society, it stands to reason that as a group, children of such a privilege group will have better chances than the rest.  This is more so in Singapore given that here, paper qualification is such an important factor to the start of one’s career.

It is often said that it is not what you know but who you know that is important in enabling one to get ahead in society.  This is true in all societies to one degree or another.  Singapore is no exception.  A child that is privileged to be given a head start in education is likely as well to have parents with the ‘right’ connections.  A little word here and a nod there by the parents to their business associates, school alumni and the like, and doors of career and business opportunities will open that much more easily for that privileged child.  The Chinese even have a word for that.  It is called “guanxi”.

Medical costs in Singapore were once really affordable.  Nowadays, ‘affordable’ and medical costs are practically oxymoron.  Staying healthy is a necessary condition to staying competitive.   Staying healthy means first, having access to proper nutrition and secondly, having access to medical facilities.  But such access is getting harder and harder for the bottom half of society as their purchasing power gets whittled away through low wage growth as consumer prices and asset prices run away.  So now, not only do the children of those on the low rungs of society not have the advantage of the head start in education given to the children of those on the high rungs, they increasingly have a health handicap as well.

If you think the above is bad, you are wrong.  It is insidious.  Why?  With wealth comes influence (guanxi) and with influence(guanxi) comes wealth.  The two tend to be mutually reinforcing.  So the benefits and advantages mentioned earlier can be rather sticky because of this reinforcing cycle.  So once you are in the top rungs of society, chances are you will stay there, and your children will stay there, and the children of your children will stay there.  You get the picture.    Similarly, if you are in the bottom rungs, you get caught in a poverty trap that gets harder and harder to get out of.  For those in the middle, some fortunate ones will be able to move themselves up.  For the majority there is a greater chance that they will slowly slide down and join the bottom scrappers.  This is because those at the top will be able to outpace those below them in the race to accumulate wealth and influence.  Over time, the fat middle income group, which is so essential for stability in a society, will thin out.

So how did this structural social problem come about?

It comes about by not by chance but as a consequence of the various policies of the government and the interaction between these policies.  This in itself is a big subject and we will not attempt to discuss it here.

Is the government seeing what we are seeing?

Looking at their current policy responses, they are more likely to be seeing the problem through the wrong end of a telescope.  The problem does not look big enough to warrant a paradigm shift in their mindset.  Either that or the government is unable to bring itself to admit the fundamental flaws in their policies.  The loss of face and credibility would probably be too much for this government that prides itself as highly talented and far-sighted. 

So what did they do instead?  They produced a plethora of handouts laid out at the end of a gauntlet of qualifying criteria that hopeful recipients are required to run through and survive.  Apart from not addressing the root of the problem, (namely the suppression of wage growth despite productivity and GDP growth, the runaway asset prices and their rent seeking behaviour) the handouts undermine the dignity of the recipients.  We Asians value “face”.  Do the handouts long enough and a generation of faceless (double entendre intended) citizens relying on handouts for their survival will be born and become a permanent feature in our social landscape.  This runs contradictory to the Government exhortation to Singaporeans not to fall into a welfare state mentality.   Is this government is trying to have the cake and eat it?

Time is running out for Singapore.  Let’s hope that from this Labour Day onwards, labour is given its fair due and the government labours for the benefit of labour rather than seeing them as a mass of faceless digits, a mere factor of production.

Central Working Committee




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